Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Redhawks @ Pilots SEA @ PORT

SEATTLE U

REDHAWKSSEA

15-9  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 8:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

11-14  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
📊
PILOTS
100%
REDHAWKS --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Seattle U)
RedhawksSEA (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Redhawks Cover

95.5%

Pilots Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-7 points

12.2%

SEA By 8-14 points

23.0%

PORT By 1-7 points

3.3%

PORT By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
92
SEATTLE U
75
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
73
SEATTLE U
81
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Redhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pilots Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Redhawks (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 PORT @ SEA 59 - 71
Feb 7, 2026 SEA @ PORT 53 - 54
Nov 19, 2022 SEA @ PORT 80 - 68
Dec 30, 2020 PORT @ SEA 68 - 84
Nov 25, 2020 SEA @ PORT 84 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.4% more
Seattle U: 7.0 vs Portland: 4.2
Blocks (L5) +39.5% more
Seattle U: 4.0 vs Portland: 2.4
Assists (L5) +26.9% more
Portland: 15.3 vs Seattle U: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.0%
Portland: 34.6% vs Seattle U: 25.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 92.0 53
PORT Score 75.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 25.6 24.0 / 28.0
Assists 15.3 / 12.0 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.4 / 4.0 2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 41.5 37.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 71.6 80.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 29.6 34.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.2 / 7.0 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.2 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
PORT
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
PORT
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -4.8
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
SEA
PORT
SEA
ML
48% 16-17
46% 16-19
82% 27-6
71% 24-10
ATS
67% 22-11
57% 20-15
82% 28-6
71% 24-10
TTL
55% 18-15
49% 17-18
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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