Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Broncos @ Cougars SCU @ WSU

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

20-5  |  Road

96
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 6:00 PM ET
Beasley Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

11-14  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
BRONCOS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Washington State)
BroncosSCU (-3.5) 0 CougarsWSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Broncos Cover

0.6%

Cougars Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSU -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

SCU By 1-7 points

0.5%

SCU By 8-14 points

0.1%

WSU By 1-7 points

3.3%

WSU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
68
SANTA CLARA
93
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
67
SANTA CLARA
78
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 SCU @ WSU 96 - 92
Feb 22, 2025 SCU @ WSU 109 - 79
Jan 23, 2025 WSU @ SCU 65 - 93
Dec 16, 2023 WSU @ SCU 61 - 69
Mar 15, 2022 SCU @ WSU 50 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.1% more
Washington State: 3.3 vs Santa Clara: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +10.6% more
Washington State: 11.2 vs Santa Clara: 10.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Washington State: 40.4% vs Santa Clara: 34.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.9%
Washington State: 75.1% vs Santa Clara: 70.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCU Score 68.0 96
WSU Score 93.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.4 / 34.5 52.0 / 41.0
Assists 16.3 / 15.5 18.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.3 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 48.8 54.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 75.1 / 70.2 87.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 35.3 33.0 / 28.0
Steals 4.4 / 10.8 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.1 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
99%TICKETS1%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
WSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
WSU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
SCU
WSU
SCU
ML
78% 25-7
44% 15-19
69% 20-9
73% 22-8
ATS
78% 25-7
53% 18-16
69% 20-9
74% 23-8
TTL
62% 20-12
47% 16-18
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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