AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
BLUE HOSE
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
BLUE HOSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Presbyterian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRES -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)
GWEB By 1-7 points
0.0%
GWEB By 8-14 points
0.0%
PRES By 1-7 points
0.1%
PRES By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Gardner-Webb
45
GARDNER-WEBB
Presbyterian
84
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
Gardner-Webb
68
GARDNER-WEBB
Presbyterian
72
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hose
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hose
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hose (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim
Blue Hose (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
GWEB @ PRES
62 - 68
Jan 17, 2026
PRES @ GWEB
92 - 55
Mar 1, 2025
GWEB @ PRES
57 - 68
Jan 4, 2025
PRES @ GWEB
61 - 63
Mar 8, 2024
PRES @ GWEB
60 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+241.5% more
Presbyterian: 5.8
vs
Gardner-Webb: 1.7
Assists (L5)
+86.1% more
Presbyterian: 15.5
vs
Gardner-Webb: 8.3
Rebounding (L5)
+25.7% more
Presbyterian: 38.7
vs
Gardner-Webb: 30.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.6%
Presbyterian: 74.9%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 62.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score
45.0
62
PRES Score
84.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 28.7
18.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.5 / 8.3
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.8 / 1.7
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.9 / 42.5
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 62.3
70.0 / 33.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 30.8
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
3.6 / 6.5
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 15.6
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
PRES
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
GWEB
PRES
GWEB
ML
69%
22-10
73%
22-8
80%
24-6
63%
19-11
ATS
59%
19-13
73%
22-8
80%
24-6
63%
19-11
TTL
59%
19-13
53%
16-14
100%
30-0
100%
30-0