LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
7-17 | Road
63
ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
10-14 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
LEOPARDS
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARMY -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
LAF By 1-7 points
0.1%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
ARMY By 1-7 points
1.1%
ARMY By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Lafayette
58
LAFAYETTE
Army
88
ARMY
Simulated Score
Lafayette
68
LAFAYETTE
Army
72
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
ARMY @ LAF
77 - 83
Feb 7, 2026
LAF @ ARMY
63 - 60
Feb 25, 2025
ARMY @ LAF
65 - 81
Jan 15, 2025
LAF @ ARMY
68 - 70
Feb 3, 2024
LAF @ ARMY
64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.2% more
Army: 12.8
vs
Lafayette: 10.5
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Army: 6.6
vs
Lafayette: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Army: 33.9%
vs
Lafayette: 27.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.3%
Lafayette: 77.2%
vs
Army: 61.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAF Score
58.0
63
ARMY Score
88.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 27.2
23.0 / 25.0
Assists
14.6 / 13.7
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.2
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.4 / 40.7
36.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
61.9 / 77.2
78.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 33.2
42.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.0
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 10.5
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
LAF
ARMY
LAF
ML
44%
14-18
53%
17-15
50%
16-16
59%
19-13
ATS
44%
14-18
56%
18-14
50%
16-16
59%
19-13
TTL
81%
26-6
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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