TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
13-11 | Road
49
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
15-9 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
PRIDE
0%
TIGERS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
TOW By 1-7 points
10.7%
TOW By 8-14 points
3.3%
HOF By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOF By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
76
TOWSON
Hofstra
86
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Towson
68
TOWSON
Hofstra
72
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
TOW @ HOF
65 - 68
Feb 7, 2026
TOW @ HOF
49 - 71
Jan 8, 2026
HOF @ TOW
78 - 67
Jan 16, 2025
HOF @ TOW
60 - 65
Feb 3, 2024
TOW @ HOF
56 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.1% more
Hofstra: 3.8
vs
Towson: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+35.4% more
Hofstra: 11.5
vs
Towson: 8.5
Assists (L5)
+34.3% more
Hofstra: 15.0
vs
Towson: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+8.7% more
Hofstra: 41.1
vs
Towson: 37.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
76.0
49
HOF Score
86.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 31.6
45.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.0 / 11.1
15.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.8
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 47.5
44.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 68.6
75.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 37.8
42.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.4
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 8.5
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
TOW
HOF
TOW
ML
77%
27-8
66%
21-11
71%
25-10
62%
20-12
ATS
83%
29-6
66%
21-11
71%
25-10
62%
20-12
TTL
51%
18-17
53%
17-15
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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