HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
12-9 | Road
71
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
10-10 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
100%
BIG GREEN
0%
CRIMSON
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DART -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
HARV By 1-7 points
5.8%
HARV By 8-14 points
1.4%
DART By 1-7 points
16.9%
DART By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
54
HARVARD
Dartmouth
68
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Harvard
65
HARVARD
Dartmouth
72
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Green
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Green (+1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
HARV @ DART
71 - 58
Jan 5, 2026
DART @ HARV
76 - 68
Mar 8, 2025
DART @ HARV
58 - 66
Feb 8, 2025
HARV @ DART
56 - 76
Mar 5, 2024
HARV @ DART
69 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.9% more
Dartmouth: 5.6
vs
Harvard: 4.5
Rebounding (L5)
+14.6% more
Dartmouth: 33.6
vs
Harvard: 29.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.3% more
Dartmouth: 11.2
vs
Harvard: 9.9
Steals (L5)
+17.1% more
Harvard: 5.9
vs
Dartmouth: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
54.0
71
DART Score
68.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 40.8
29.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.6 / 13.2
13.0 / 19.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.5
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 48.0
34.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 82.3
92.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 29.4
29.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.9 / 5.9
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 9.9
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
HARV
DART
HARV
ML
62%
16-10
45%
13-16
50%
13-13
52%
15-14
ATS
65%
17-9
45%
13-16
50%
13-13
52%
15-14
TTL
88%
23-3
41%
12-17
100%
26-0
100%
29-0
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