KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
14-8 | Road
58
JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
12-10 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
OWLS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JXST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
KENN By 1-7 points
24.3%
KENN By 8-14 points
13.7%
JXST By 1-7 points
26.2%
JXST By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Kennesaw State
54
KENNESAW STATE
Jacksonville State
55
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
Kennesaw State
68
KENNESAW STATE
Jacksonville State
72
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
KENN @ JXST
58 - 77
Jan 10, 2026
JXST @ KENN
82 - 88
Mar 8, 2025
KENN @ JXST
74 - 70
Jan 4, 2025
JXST @ KENN
71 - 83
Feb 11, 2023
JXST @ KENN
71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+47.5% more
Jacksonville State: 14.8
vs
Kennesaw State: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
Jacksonville State: 73.9%
vs
Kennesaw State: 69.1%
Blocks (L5)
+57.8% more
Kennesaw State: 6.6
vs
Jacksonville State: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+32.2% more
Kennesaw State: 13.1
vs
Jacksonville State: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENN Score
54.0
58
JXST Score
55.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.5 / 35.8
38.0 / 21.0
Assists
8.9 / 13.1
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.8 / 6.6
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 42.5
46.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 69.1
71.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 38.4
41.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.5
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 10.1
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
Advantage
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
KENN
JXST
KENN
ML
50%
16-16
74%
25-9
55%
17-14
72%
23-9
ATS
62%
20-12
71%
24-10
55%
17-14
73%
24-9
TTL
62%
20-12
56%
19-15
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
