CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
10-10 | Road
88
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
14-7 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
LIONS
0%
BIG RED
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
COR By 1-7 points
21.6%
COR By 8-14 points
10.7%
COLU By 1-7 points
27.2%
COLU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
79
CORNELL
Columbia
82
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Cornell
85
CORNELL
Columbia
70
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Big Red (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
COR @ COLU
88 - 67
Jan 5, 2026
COLU @ COR
104 - 99
Mar 8, 2025
COLU @ COR
81 - 100
Jan 11, 2025
COR @ COLU
94 - 83
Mar 9, 2024
COR @ COLU
98 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+26.8% more
Columbia: 38.0
vs
Cornell: 30.0
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
Cornell: 20.2
vs
Columbia: 15.7
Steals (L5)
+21.2% more
Cornell: 6.9
vs
Columbia: 5.4
Blocks (L5)
+8.4% more
Cornell: 3.2
vs
Columbia: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
79.0
88
COLU Score
82.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 40.1
44.0 / 32.0
Assists
15.7 / 20.2
16.0 / 25.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.2
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 50.7
46.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
61.3 / 68.7
53.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 30.0
25.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.9
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.4
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
COR
COLU
COR
ML
44%
12-15
44%
12-15
56%
15-12
63%
17-10
ATS
59%
16-11
59%
16-11
56%
15-12
63%
17-10
TTL
74%
20-7
78%
21-6
100%
27-0
100%
27-0
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