PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
8-14 | Road
60
PENNSYLVANIA
QUAKERSPENN
10-10 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
QUAKERS
100%
TIGERS
--
QUAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Princeton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRIN -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)
PRIN By 1-7 points
4.0%
PRIN By 8-14 points
12.2%
PENN By 1-7 points
0.6%
PENN By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
83
PRINCETON
Pennsylvania
59
PENNSYLVANIA
Simulated Score
Princeton
72
PRINCETON
Pennsylvania
65
PENNSYLVANIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
PRIN @ PENN
60 - 61
Jan 5, 2026
PENN @ PRIN
76 - 78
Mar 8, 2025
PENN @ PRIN
71 - 95
Feb 7, 2025
PRIN @ PENN
61 - 59
Mar 9, 2024
PRIN @ PENN
105 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.3%
Princeton: 82.2%
vs
Pennsylvania: 66.9%
Steals (L5)
+81.6% more
Pennsylvania: 6.9
vs
Princeton: 3.8
Turnovers (L5)
+29.6% more
Pennsylvania: 10.9
vs
Princeton: 8.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Pennsylvania: 41.6%
vs
Princeton: 39.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
83.0
60
PENN Score
59.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 39.0
28.0 / 32.0
Assists
14.5 / 13.6
12.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.0
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 45.2
41.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
66.9 / 82.2
67.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 32.8
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.9 / 3.8
5.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 8.4
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
Advantage
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
PENN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
PENN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
PENN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PENN
PRIN
PENN
PRIN
ML
53%
16-14
45%
13-16
76%
22-7
62%
18-11
ATS
63%
19-11
48%
14-15
76%
22-7
62%
18-11
TTL
70%
21-9
72%
21-8
100%
29-0
100%
29-0
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