SAINT FRANCIS
RED FLASHSFPA
6-16 | Road
84
LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
11-13 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
DOLPHINS
0%
RED FLASH
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Le Moyne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEM -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)
SFPA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SFPA By 8-14 points
0.0%
LEM By 1-7 points
0.5%
LEM By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Francis
54
SAINT FRANCIS
Le Moyne
87
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
Saint Francis
70
SAINT FRANCIS
Le Moyne
78
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
SFPA @ LEM
84 - 86
Jan 2, 2026
LEM @ SFPA
84 - 58
Feb 20, 2025
SFPA @ LEM
81 - 76
Feb 6, 2025
LEM @ SFPA
78 - 86
Mar 2, 2024
LEM @ SFPA
74 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.6% more
Le Moyne: 3.2
vs
Saint Francis: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+10.9% more
Le Moyne: 13.1
vs
Saint Francis: 11.8
Steals (L5)
+25.5% more
Saint Francis: 8.0
vs
Le Moyne: 6.0
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Saint Francis: 16.4
vs
Le Moyne: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score
54.0
84
LEM Score
87.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 39.3
41.0 / 54.0
Assists
13.7 / 16.4
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.4
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 46.6
63.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 70.3
68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 31.7
34.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.0
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 11.8
21.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +5.8
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
SFPA
LEM
SFPA
ML
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
67%
20-10
ATS
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
67%
20-10
TTL
42%
13-18
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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