WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
12-11 | Road
73
UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
16-7 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
BRUINS
100%
HUSKIES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WASH -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
WASH By 1-7 points
13.7%
WASH By 8-14 points
24.3%
UCLA By 1-7 points
4.0%
UCLA By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
102
WASHINGTON
UCLA
86
UCLA
Simulated Score
Washington
70
WASHINGTON
UCLA
78
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
WASH @ UCLA
73 - 77
Dec 3, 2025
UCLA @ WASH
82 - 80
Jan 24, 2025
UCLA @ WASH
65 - 60
Dec 3, 2024
WASH @ UCLA
58 - 69
Feb 29, 2024
UCLA @ WASH
77 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.7% more
Washington: 11.0
vs
UCLA: 6.3
Blocks (L5)
+37.0% more
Washington: 5.1
vs
UCLA: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+30.1% more
UCLA: 18.4
vs
Washington: 14.1
Steals (L5)
+12.9% more
UCLA: 4.6
vs
Washington: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
102.0
73
UCLA Score
86.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.6 / 38.4
44.0 / 29.0
Assists
18.4 / 14.1
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.1
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 48.9
41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 79.4
79.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 35.2
30.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.6 / 4.1
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
6.3 / 11.0
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
WASH
UCLA
WASH
ML
67%
24-12
45%
15-18
76%
25-8
66%
21-11
ATS
61%
22-14
48%
16-17
76%
25-8
66%
21-11
TTL
61%
22-14
70%
23-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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