AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
CARDINAL
0%
YELLOW JACKETS
--
CARDINAL
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Stanford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STAN -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)
GT By 1-7 points
16.9%
GT By 8-14 points
6.8%
STAN By 1-7 points
26.8%
STAN By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Tech
70
GEORGIA TECH
Stanford
76
STANFORD
Simulated Score
Georgia Tech
68
GEORGIA TECH
Stanford
74
STANFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinal
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinal
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinal (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Cardinal (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
GT @ STAN
72 - 95
Feb 12, 2025
STAN @ GT
52 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+101.7% more
Stanford: 7.2
vs
Georgia Tech: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Stanford: 69.5%
vs
Georgia Tech: 65.4%
Blocks (L5)
+31.4% more
Georgia Tech: 4.4
vs
Stanford: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+24.7% more
Georgia Tech: 16.2
vs
Stanford: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GT Score
70.0
72
STAN Score
76.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 38.3
44.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.2 / 16.2
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.4
10.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 45.4
54.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 65.4
89.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 37.5
38.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.2 / 3.6
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 11.2
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
STAN
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
STAN
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STAN
GT
STAN
GT
ML
48%
16-17
61%
19-12
50%
16-16
63%
19-11
ATS
48%
16-17
55%
17-14
50%
16-16
63%
19-11
TTL
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0