AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
EXPLORERS
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
LAS By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAS By 8-14 points
10.7%
SLU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SLU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
La Salle
57
LA SALLE
Saint Louis
60
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
La Salle
68
LA SALLE
Saint Louis
72
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Billikens (+23.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
LAS @ SLU
58 - 82
Jan 10, 2026
SLU @ LAS
84 - 72
Jan 22, 2025
LAS @ SLU
52 - 64
Feb 7, 2024
SLU @ LAS
102 - 84
Jan 21, 2023
LAS @ SLU
71 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+65.6% more
Saint Louis: 2.0
vs
La Salle: 1.2
Assists (L5)
+40.9% more
Saint Louis: 19.1
vs
La Salle: 13.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+19.4%
Saint Louis: 47.8%
vs
La Salle: 28.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+18.2% more
Saint Louis: 38.4
vs
La Salle: 32.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAS Score
57.0
58
SLU Score
60.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
47.8 / 28.4
43.0 / 18.0
Assists
19.1 / 13.5
19.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.2
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.2 / 40.7
51.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
64.4 / 63.9
71.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 32.4
34.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.6
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 11.0
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
LAS
SLU
LAS
ML
70%
23-10
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
ATS
73%
24-9
78%
25-7
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
TTL
61%
20-13
66%
21-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0