Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Utes @ Jayhawks UTAH @ KU

UTAH

UTESUTAH

9-13  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:30 PM ET
Allen Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

JAYHAWKSKU

17-5  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
100%
📊
JAYHAWKS
0%
UTES --
JAYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Kansas)
UtesUTAH (-3.5) 0 JayhawksKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utes Cover

21.2%

Jayhawks Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)

UTAH By 1-7 points

13.7%

UTAH By 8-14 points

4.8%

KU By 1-7 points

25.3%

KU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
UTAH
86
KANSAS
Simulated Score
70
UTAH
78
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jayhawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jayhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jayhawks (+18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Jayhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 UTAH @ KU 59 - 71
Feb 15, 2025 KU @ UTAH 67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +19.8% more
Kansas: 4.8 vs Utah: 4.0
Rebounding (L5) +11.2% more
Kansas: 37.3 vs Utah: 33.6
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Kansas: 49.8% vs Utah: 43.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
Kansas: 75.9% vs Utah: 70.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 78.0 59
KU Score 86.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 36.5 17.0 / 28.0
Assists 14.3 / 13.7 18.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.8 / 4.0 10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.8 / 43.0 50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 70.2 75.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 33.6 36.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.5 / 4.9 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 10.5 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
KU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
KU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
UTAH
KU
UTAH
ML
57% 20-15
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
67% 20-10
ATS
49% 17-18
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
67% 20-10
TTL
60% 21-14
41% 13-19
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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