AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
CORNHUSKERS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
NEB By 1-7 points
10.7%
NEB By 8-14 points
3.3%
RUTG By 1-7 points
23.0%
RUTG By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
75
NEBRASKA
Rutgers
85
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Nebraska
68
NEBRASKA
Rutgers
72
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
NEB @ RUTG
80 - 68
Jan 16, 2025
RUTG @ NEB
85 - 82
Mar 3, 2024
RUTG @ NEB
56 - 67
Jan 17, 2024
NEB @ RUTG
82 - 87
Feb 14, 2023
NEB @ RUTG
82 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.9% more
Rutgers: 3.6
vs
Nebraska: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+33.7% more
Nebraska: 18.1
vs
Rutgers: 12.0
Steals (L5)
+33.3% more
Nebraska: 7.3
vs
Rutgers: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Nebraska: 81.3%
vs
Rutgers: 70.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
75.0
80
RUTG Score
85.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 38.2
32.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.0 / 18.1
14.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 46.0
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 81.3
58.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 29.4
34.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.8 / 7.3
3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 8.5
15.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
RUTG
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
NEB
RUTG
NEB
ML
53%
18-16
51%
18-17
70%
23-10
62%
21-13
ATS
68%
23-11
54%
19-16
70%
23-10
62%
21-13
TTL
53%
18-16
63%
22-13
100%
33-0
100%
34-0