Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Jaguars CLE @ IUIN

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

10-14  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
The Jungle
View Odds Details →

IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

6-18  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
JAGUARS
0%
VIKINGS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 JaguarsIUIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

21.2%

Jaguars Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

CLE By 1-7 points

13.7%

CLE By 8-14 points

4.8%

IUIN By 1-7 points

25.3%

IUIN By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
CLEVELAND STATE
81
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
70
CLEVELAND STATE
73
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaguars (-2) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u168.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u168.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 IUIN @ CLE 93 - 101
Feb 7, 2026 CLE @ IUIN 74 - 82
Dec 29, 2025 IUIN @ CLE 86 - 99
Jan 19, 2025 CLE @ IUIN 73 - 62
Jan 4, 2025 IUIN @ CLE 61 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +8.3% more
IU Indianapolis: 19.9 vs Cleveland State: 18.4
Blocks (L5) +26.6% more
Cleveland State: 4.1 vs IU Indianapolis: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +12.4% more
Cleveland State: 33.3 vs IU Indianapolis: 29.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Cleveland State: 43.9% vs IU Indianapolis: 37.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 73.0 74
IUIN Score 81.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 43.9 43.0 / 23.0
Assists 19.9 / 18.4 22.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.1 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 47.8 49.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 79.2 67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 29.1 / 33.3 37.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.8 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 11.2 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
CLE
IUIN
CLE
ML
69% 22-10
52% 17-16
78% 25-7
64% 21-12
ATS
66% 21-11
64% 21-12
78% 25-7
64% 21-12
TTL
50% 16-16
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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