Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Norse MILW @ NKU

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

9-16  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 5:00 PM ET
Truist Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN KENTUCKY

NORSENKU

14-11  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
NORSE
100%
PANTHERS --
NORSE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Milwaukee)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 NorseNKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

100.0%

Norse Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MILW -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

MILW By 1-7 points

0.5%

MILW By 8-14 points

2.7%

NKU By 1-7 points

0.0%

NKU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
MILWAUKEE
50
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
68
MILWAUKEE
72
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Norse Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Norse (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 MILW @ NKU 62 - 67
Jan 9, 2026 NKU @ MILW 85 - 67
Feb 16, 2025 NKU @ MILW 70 - 92
Jan 24, 2025 MILW @ NKU 79 - 59
Mar 11, 2024 MILW @ NKU 82 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
Milwaukee: 69.2% vs Northern Kentucky: 66.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Milwaukee: 44.5% vs Northern Kentucky: 42.9%
Blocks (L5) +48.5% more
Northern Kentucky: 5.1 vs Milwaukee: 3.4
Steals (L5) +22.5% more
Northern Kentucky: 8.9 vs Milwaukee: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 83.0 62
NKU Score 50.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 27.8 36.0 / 37.0
Assists 14.5 / 12.1 12.0 / 12.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.4 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 44.5 41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 69.2 74.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 31.6 32.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.9 / 7.3 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 10.3 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
NKU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
NKU Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 5.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NKU
MILW
NKU
MILW
ML
53% 18-16
50% 16-16
65% 22-12
69% 22-10
ATS
56% 19-15
47% 15-17
65% 22-12
69% 22-10
TTL
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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