AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
FLAMES
100%
BRUINS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-65.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +65.0 points (Belmont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BEL -65.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
BEL By 1-7 points
0.0%
BEL By 8-14 points
0.0%
UIC By 1-7 points
0.0%
UIC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Belmont
112
BELMONT
UIC
47
UIC
Simulated Score
Belmont
68
BELMONT
UIC
72
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -65.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 6, 2026
BEL @ UIC
68 - 62
Dec 13, 2025
UIC @ BEL
84 - 87
Jan 4, 2025
UIC @ BEL
87 - 92
Feb 18, 2024
BEL @ UIC
75 - 60
Jan 27, 2024
UIC @ BEL
65 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+42.7% more
Belmont: 21.4
vs
UIC: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.5%
Belmont: 46.2%
vs
UIC: 31.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.3%
Belmont: 55.4%
vs
UIC: 43.1%
Steals (L5)
+58.1% more
UIC: 7.9
vs
Belmont: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BEL Score
112.0
68
UIC Score
47.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 46.2
17.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.2 / 21.4
12.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.7
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 55.4
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 63.3
68.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 30.7
30.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.9 / 5.0
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 9.2
11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
BEL
UIC
BEL
ML
57%
20-15
47%
15-17
44%
15-19
62%
20-12
ATS
54%
19-16
56%
18-14
44%
15-19
62%
20-12
TTL
60%
21-14
44%
14-18
100%
34-0
100%
32-0