BRADLEY
BRAVESBRAD
16-8 | Road
49
NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
14-9 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
PANTHERS
100%
BRAVES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRAD -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
BRAD By 1-7 points
27.2%
BRAD By 8-14 points
23.0%
UNI By 1-7 points
18.6%
UNI By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bradley
81
BRADLEY
Northern Iowa
76
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Bradley
64
BRADLEY
Northern Iowa
68
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
UNI @ BRAD
73 - 69
Feb 6, 2026
BRAD @ UNI
49 - 61
Jan 10, 2026
UNI @ BRAD
69 - 75
Mar 2, 2025
UNI @ BRAD
56 - 73
Feb 2, 2025
BRAD @ UNI
69 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.3% more
Bradley: 6.3
vs
Northern Iowa: 3.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Bradley: 38.4%
vs
Northern Iowa: 30.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
Bradley: 72.3%
vs
Northern Iowa: 66.6%
Blocks (L5)
+100.0% more
Northern Iowa: 1.8
vs
Bradley: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score
81.0
49
UNI Score
76.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 38.4
25.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.0
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.8 / 0.8
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 45.3
44.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
66.6 / 72.3
73.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 34.1
33.0 / 26.0
Steals
3.6 / 6.3
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 9.0
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
BRAD
UNI
BRAD
ML
51%
18-17
65%
22-12
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
ATS
49%
17-18
59%
20-14
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
TTL
69%
24-11
68%
23-11
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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