BROWN
BEARSBRWN
7-13 | Road
69
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
16-4 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BEARS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Yale)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YALE -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
BRWN By 1-7 points
12.2%
BRWN By 8-14 points
4.0%
YALE By 1-7 points
24.3%
YALE By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Brown
59
BROWN
Yale
68
YALE
Simulated Score
Brown
65
BROWN
Yale
78
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 6, 2026
BRWN @ YALE
69 - 81
Jan 5, 2026
YALE @ BRWN
70 - 53
Mar 8, 2025
YALE @ BRWN
70 - 61
Jan 11, 2025
BRWN @ YALE
58 - 79
Mar 17, 2024
BRWN @ YALE
61 - 62
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+17.1%
Yale: 42.7%
vs
Brown: 25.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.2%
Yale: 84.6%
vs
Brown: 69.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Yale: 48.1%
vs
Brown: 39.7%
Steals (L5)
+35.6% more
Brown: 6.7
vs
Yale: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score
59.0
69
YALE Score
68.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.7 / 25.6
48.0 / 36.0
Assists
15.3 / 14.5
18.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 39.7
57.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
84.6 / 69.4
61.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 37.6
32.0 / 26.0
Steals
4.3 / 6.7
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 12.2
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
BRWN
YALE
BRWN
ML
48%
15-16
56%
15-12
58%
18-13
67%
18-9
ATS
65%
20-11
59%
16-11
58%
18-13
67%
18-9
TTL
61%
19-12
59%
16-11
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
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