LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
11-12 | Road
78
WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
7-13 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
SEAHAWKS
0%
DOLPHINS
--
SEAHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WAGNER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wagner)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAG)
LEM By 1-7 points
24.3%
LEM By 8-14 points
13.7%
WAG By 1-7 points
26.2%
WAG By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Le Moyne
80
LE MOYNE
Wagner
81
WAGNER
Simulated Score
Le Moyne
68
LE MOYNE
Wagner
72
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Seahawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
LEM @ WAG
78 - 79
Jan 23, 2026
WAG @ LEM
67 - 69
Feb 13, 2025
WAG @ LEM
68 - 72
Feb 1, 2025
LEM @ WAG
61 - 73
Feb 29, 2024
WAG @ LEM
56 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Wagner: 73.9%
vs
Le Moyne: 67.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Wagner: 34.7%
vs
Le Moyne: 32.2%
Blocks (L5)
+49.2% more
Le Moyne: 3.8
vs
Wagner: 1.9
Turnovers (L5)
+22.9% more
Le Moyne: 12.7
vs
Wagner: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEM Score
80.0
78
WAG Score
81.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 32.2
41.0 / 31.0
Assists
11.5 / 12.1
11.0 / 17.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 41.3
54.0 / 58.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 67.7
80.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 35.6
26.0 / 24.0
Steals
4.5 / 5.0
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 12.7
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
WAG
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
LEM
WAG
LEM
ML
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
68%
21-10
ATS
60%
18-12
65%
20-11
57%
17-13
69%
22-10
TTL
53%
16-14
42%
13-18
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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