STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
9-14 | Road
58
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
7-16 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
0%
KNIGHTS
100%
SKYHAWKS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Stonehill)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STO -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)
STO By 1-7 points
8.0%
STO By 8-14 points
18.6%
FDU By 1-7 points
1.7%
FDU By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
80
STONEHILL
Fairleigh Dickinson
60
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
Stonehill
68
STONEHILL
Fairleigh Dickinson
75
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Skyhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Skyhawks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u129.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
STO @ FDU
58 - 74
Jan 29, 2026
FDU @ STO
57 - 58
Mar 5, 2025
STO @ FDU
56 - 71
Feb 27, 2025
STO @ FDU
69 - 82
Jan 26, 2025
FDU @ STO
65 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+86.1% more
Stonehill: 5.6
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 0.8
Turnovers (L5)
+23.1% more
Stonehill: 11.6
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 8.9
Rebounding (L5)
+18.0% more
Stonehill: 40.1
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 32.9
Steals (L5)
+14.9% more
Stonehill: 5.9
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
80.0
58
FDU Score
60.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 26.3
36.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.4 / 11.0
10.0 / 5.0
Blocks
0.8 / 5.6
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 39.4
46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 72.4
82.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 40.1
40.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.9
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 11.6
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
Advantage
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
STO
FDU
STO
ML
65%
20-11
45%
15-18
74%
23-8
70%
23-10
ATS
68%
21-10
39%
13-20
74%
23-8
70%
23-10
TTL
58%
18-13
55%
18-15
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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