OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
27-22-7 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
25-20-10 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.01 | 0.926 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.01
--
Save %
0.926
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
FLYERS
100%
SENATORS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
PHI By 1 goal
2.8%
PHI By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
5
OTTAWA
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
OTT @ PHI
2 - 1
Nov 8, 2025
OTT @ PHI
3 - 2
Oct 23, 2025
PHI @ OTT
1 - 2
Apr 13, 2025
PHI @ OTT
3 - 4
Mar 11, 2025
OTT @ PHI
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+43.3% more
Ottawa: 6.9
vs
Philadelphia: 3.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.9% more
Ottawa: 28.4
vs
Philadelphia: 24.5
Power Play % (L5)
+3.2%
Ottawa: 33.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 30.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.0%
Ottawa: 50.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 48.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
5.0
2
PHI Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.1 / 14.4
6.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
48.0 / 50.0
45.7 / 54.3
Hits
25.3 / 22.7
23.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
3058.0 / 3380.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.5 / 28.4
16.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 6.9
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
OTT
PHI
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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