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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

28-21-8  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

22-27-6  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
@
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Tristan Jarry None-None 4.10 0.840 --
Devin Cooley None-None 3.00 0.923 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.10 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.840 Save % Ldr 0.923
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
FLAMES
100%
OILERS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

30.9%

Flames Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

EDM By 1 goal

19.7%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
EDMONTON
2
CALGARY
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 EDM @ CGY 3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025 EDM @ CGY 2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025 CGY @ EDM 1 - 5
Oct 8, 2025 CGY @ EDM 4 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 CGY @ EDM 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.0% more
Edmonton: 35.8 vs Calgary: 31.9
Faceoff % (L5) +3.8%
Edmonton: 51.1% vs Calgary: 47.3%
Blocked Shots (L5) +51.3% more
Calgary: 16.8 vs Edmonton: 11.1
Power Play % (L5) +12.0%
Calgary: 18.1% vs Edmonton: 6.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 3.0 3
CGY Score 2.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.8 / 11.1 13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 47.3 / 51.1 40.0 / 60.0
Hits 20.6 / 19.5 19.0 / 6.0
Power Play % 18.1 / 6.2 66.7 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 31.9 / 35.8 25.0 / 39.0
Takeaways 4.0 / 3.9 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
EDM
CGY
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 6 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 5 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days ago
Canucks Aim to Stun Oilers Again in Home Opener After Overtime T…
yardbarker 1 week ago