PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
6-17 | Road
81
SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
14-9 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
WAVES
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
WAVES
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEA -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
PEPP By 1-7 points
6.8%
PEPP By 8-14 points
1.7%
SEA By 1-7 points
18.6%
SEA By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Pepperdine
91
PEPPERDINE
Seattle U
104
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
Pepperdine
71
PEPPERDINE
Seattle U
75
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
SEA @ PEPP
87 - 80
Feb 4, 2026
PEPP @ SEA
81 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+57.8% more
Seattle U: 8.4
vs
Pepperdine: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.3% more
Pepperdine: 33.3
vs
Seattle U: 28.9
Turnovers (L5)
+12.0% more
Pepperdine: 12.8
vs
Seattle U: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Pepperdine: 76.9%
vs
Seattle U: 70.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PEPP Score
91.0
81
SEA Score
104.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.4 / 28.3
24.0 / 40.0
Assists
11.1 / 11.8
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
37.7 / 43.2
49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 76.9
74.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
28.9 / 33.3
31.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.4
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 12.8
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PEPP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
SEA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
PEPP
SEA
PEPP
ML
46%
16-19
62%
20-12
71%
24-10
69%
22-10
ATS
57%
20-15
56%
18-14
71%
24-10
69%
22-10
TTL
49%
17-18
50%
16-16
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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