NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
13-39 | Road
137
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
19-29 | Home
141
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
BUCKS
0%
PELICANS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
NO By 1-7 points
1.7%
NO By 8-14 points
0.3%
MIL By 1-7 points
8.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
93
NEW ORLEANS
Milwaukee
113
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
New Orleans
112
NEW ORLEANS
Milwaukee
115
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u222.5
Loss
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim
u222.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
MIL @ NO
139 - 118
Feb 4, 2026
NO @ MIL
137 - 141
Apr 10, 2025
NO @ MIL
111 - 136
Apr 6, 2025
MIL @ NO
111 - 107
Mar 28, 2024
MIL @ NO
100 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.4% more
Milwaukee: 12.3
vs
New Orleans: 10.6
Assists (L5)
+12.2% more
Milwaukee: 26.5
vs
New Orleans: 23.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Milwaukee: 42.2%
vs
New Orleans: 32.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Milwaukee: 45.2%
vs
New Orleans: 41.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NO Score
93.0
137
MIL Score
113.0
141
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.2 / 32.2
45.0 / 52.0
Assists
26.5 / 23.6
36.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.0 / 6.8
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 41.9
61.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 77.9
80.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
44.7 / 42.9
43.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.9 / 9.0
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 10.6
15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NO
MIL
NO
ML
64%
61-35
62%
98-61
60%
49-32
58%
48-35
ATS
68%
65-31
68%
107-51-1
60%
49-32
58%
48-35
TTL
55%
53-43
75%
119-40
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…