Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Midshipmen @ Leopards NAVY @ LAF

NAVY

MIDSHIPMENNAVY

17-6  |  Road

65
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Kirby Sports Center
View Odds Details →

LAFAYETTE

LEOPARDSLAF

7-16  |  Home

50
AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
📊
LEOPARDS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN --
LEOPARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-64.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +64.0 points (Navy)
MidshipmenNAVY (-3.5) 0 LeopardsLAF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Midshipmen Cover

100.0%

Leopards Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NAVY -64.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)

NAVY By 1-7 points

0.0%

NAVY By 8-14 points

0.0%

LAF By 1-7 points

0.0%

LAF By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
122
NAVY
58
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
66
NAVY
75
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Midshipmen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Leopards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Midshipmen (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -64.0
D
Sim Leopards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 NAVY @ LAF 65 - 50
Jan 10, 2026 LAF @ NAVY 50 - 76
Feb 8, 2025 NAVY @ LAF 51 - 61
Jan 5, 2025 LAF @ NAVY 70 - 71
Feb 28, 2024 LAF @ NAVY 58 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.7% more
Navy: 19.1 vs Lafayette: 14.0
Turnovers (L5) +17.7% more
Navy: 11.3 vs Lafayette: 9.3
Blocks (L5) +14.2% more
Navy: 3.2 vs Lafayette: 2.8
Steals (L5) +13.7% more
Navy: 8.2 vs Lafayette: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score 122.0 65
LAF Score 58.0 50
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 39.2 20.0 / 8.0
Assists 14.0 / 19.1 13.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.2 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 55.6 37.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 65.8 / 71.5 100.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 34.9 31.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.1 / 8.2 4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 11.3 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
98%MONEY2%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
LAF
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY Advantage
20-11-1 (64.5%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +3.7
LAF
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.3
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
NAVY
LAF
NAVY
ML
53% 17-15
79% 26-7
59% 19-13
55% 18-15
ATS
56% 18-14
73% 24-9
59% 19-13
55% 18-15
TTL
50% 16-16
73% 24-9
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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