BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
7-16 | Road
60
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
EAGLESAMER
13-10 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
EAGLES
100%
BISON
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
105.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Bucknell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUCK -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)
BUCK By 1-7 points
21.6%
BUCK By 8-14 points
27.4%
AMER By 1-7 points
9.3%
AMER By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
58
BUCKNELL
American University
47
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Bucknell
68
BUCKNELL
American University
72
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 105.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
AMER @ BUCK
75 - 57
Feb 4, 2026
BUCK @ AMER
60 - 59
Feb 5, 2025
AMER @ BUCK
49 - 71
Jan 11, 2025
BUCK @ AMER
58 - 68
Mar 7, 2024
BUCK @ AMER
80 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+16.0% more
Bucknell: 15.8
vs
American University: 13.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
Bucknell: 37.8%
vs
American University: 30.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Bucknell: 47.0%
vs
American University: 43.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Bucknell: 79.9%
vs
American University: 76.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
58.0
60
AMER Score
47.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 37.8
33.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.3 / 15.8
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 47.0
34.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 79.9
64.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 32.4
37.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.1
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 9.7
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
AMER
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
AMER
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
BUCK
AMER
BUCK
ML
62%
20-12
55%
18-15
62%
20-12
64%
21-12
ATS
59%
19-13
45%
15-18
62%
20-12
64%
21-12
TTL
59%
19-13
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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