Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / 49ers @ Shockers CLT @ WICH

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

13-9  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 7:30 PM ET
Charles Koch Arena
View Odds Details →

WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

13-9  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
📊
SHOCKERS
100%
49ERS --
SHOCKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
49ersCLT (-3.5) 0 ShockersWICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

30.9%

Shockers Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WICH +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)

CLT By 1-7 points

27.2%

CLT By 8-14 points

23.0%

WICH By 1-7 points

18.6%

WICH By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
CHARLOTTE
83
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
68
CHARLOTTE
72
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 49ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Shockers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Shockers (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Shockers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 CLT @ WICH 64 - 74
Jan 3, 2026 WICH @ CLT 100 - 104
Feb 4, 2025 WICH @ CLT 66 - 58
Jan 14, 2025 CLT @ WICH 59 - 68
Feb 18, 2024 WICH @ CLT 61 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +13.3% more
Charlotte: 11.8 vs Wichita State: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5) +8.8%
Charlotte: 74.2% vs Wichita State: 65.4%
Assists (L5) +8.2% more
Charlotte: 13.6 vs Wichita State: 12.5
Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Charlotte: 49.9% vs Wichita State: 43.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 88.0 64
WICH Score 83.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 41.7 32.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.5 / 13.6 11.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.8 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 49.9 49.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 65.4 / 74.2 50.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 32.8 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.7 / 4.0 9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 11.8 6.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
CLT
WICH
CLT
ML
61% 22-14
62% 21-13
68% 23-11
67% 22-11
ATS
64% 23-13
68% 23-11
68% 23-11
67% 22-11
TTL
69% 25-11
65% 22-12
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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