AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
VIKINGS
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Oakland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)
OAK By 1-7 points
0.1%
OAK By 8-14 points
0.8%
CLE By 1-7 points
0.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Oakland
88
OAKLAND
Cleveland State
50
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
Oakland
72
OAKLAND
Cleveland State
78
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Grizzlies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Grizzlies (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u169.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u169.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
OAK @ CLE
78 - 91
Jan 9, 2026
CLE @ OAK
74 - 97
Feb 23, 2025
CLE @ OAK
86 - 91
Dec 19, 2024
OAK @ CLE
75 - 92
Mar 11, 2024
CLE @ OAK
71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.0% more
Oakland: 5.3
vs
Cleveland State: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+26.7% more
Oakland: 41.5
vs
Cleveland State: 30.4
Steals (L5)
+17.4% more
Oakland: 6.9
vs
Cleveland State: 5.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Cleveland State: 44.3%
vs
Oakland: 33.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OAK Score
88.0
78
CLE Score
50.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.3 / 33.7
43.0 / 24.0
Assists
16.5 / 16.7
22.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.3
5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 46.0
44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 72.5
78.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
30.4 / 41.5
39.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.7 / 6.9
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.7
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
CLE
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
CLE
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.0
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
OAK
CLE
OAK
ML
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
ATS
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
TTL
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
32-0