AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
TITANS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-51.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +51.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DETM -51.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
DETM By 1-7 points
0.0%
DETM By 8-14 points
0.0%
MILW By 1-7 points
0.0%
MILW By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
99
DETROIT MERCY
Milwaukee
48
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
65
DETROIT MERCY
Milwaukee
78
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
MILW @ DETM
63 - 84
Feb 20, 2026
MILW @ DETM
86 - 91
Feb 4, 2026
DETM @ MILW
76 - 63
Mar 1, 2025
DETM @ MILW
67 - 89
Jan 4, 2025
MILW @ DETM
64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.9% more
Detroit Mercy: 16.1
vs
Milwaukee: 12.7
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Detroit Mercy: 12.8
vs
Milwaukee: 10.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.1%
Detroit Mercy: 44.8%
vs
Milwaukee: 31.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+12.1% more
Detroit Mercy: 38.6
vs
Milwaukee: 33.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
99.0
76
MILW Score
48.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 44.8
20.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.7 / 16.1
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.9
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 48.7
44.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
67.3 / 75.3
73.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 38.6
27.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.4 / 4.2
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.8
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
MILW
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
MILW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
DETM
MILW
DETM
ML
50%
16-16
58%
18-13
69%
22-10
50%
15-15
ATS
47%
15-17
61%
19-12
69%
22-10
50%
15-15
TTL
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0