Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Yellow Jackets @ Golden Bears GT @ CAL

GEORGIA TECH

YELLOW JACKETSGT

11-11  |  Road

85
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Haas Pavilion
View Odds Details →

CALIFORNIA

GOLDEN BEARSCAL

16-6  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
📊
GOLDEN BEARS
100%
YELLOW JACKETS --
GOLDEN BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Yellow JacketsGT (-3.5) 0 Golden BearsCAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yellow Jackets Cover

86.4%

Golden Bears Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GT -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GT By 1-7 points

21.6%

GT By 8-14 points

27.4%

CAL By 1-7 points

9.3%

CAL By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
85
GEORGIA TECH
74
CALIFORNIA
Simulated Score
72
GEORGIA TECH
78
CALIFORNIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yellow Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yellow Jackets (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Golden Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 CAL @ GT 76 - 65
Feb 4, 2026 GT @ CAL 85 - 90
Feb 15, 2025 CAL @ GT 88 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +46.6% more
Georgia Tech: 4.5 vs California: 2.4
Turnovers (L5) +26.2% more
Georgia Tech: 12.9 vs California: 9.5
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Georgia Tech: 14.3 vs California: 12.5
Rebounding (L5) +8.7% more
Georgia Tech: 37.2 vs California: 34.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 85.0 85
CAL Score 74.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 40.5 52.0 / 34.0
Assists 12.5 / 14.3 13.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.4 / 4.5 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 44.1 46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 73.2 72.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 34.0 / 37.2 40.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.4 / 2.9 2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 12.9 14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
CAL Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
CAL Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.5
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAL
GT
CAL
GT
ML
61% 20-13
61% 19-12
77% 24-7
63% 19-11
ATS
64% 21-12
55% 17-14
78% 25-7
63% 19-11
TTL
70% 23-10
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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