AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
BUCCANEERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHSO -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
CHSO By 1-7 points
10.7%
CHSO By 8-14 points
21.6%
HPU By 1-7 points
2.7%
HPU By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
80
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
High Point
62
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
68
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
High Point
82
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers (-14.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CHSO @ HPU
55 - 80
Jan 10, 2026
HPU @ CHSO
84 - 82
Feb 19, 2025
CHSO @ HPU
60 - 83
Jan 8, 2025
HPU @ CHSO
93 - 79
Feb 24, 2024
HPU @ CHSO
74 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+54.5% more
Charleston Southern: 15.4
vs
High Point: 7.0
Blocks (L5)
+37.8% more
Charleston Southern: 4.9
vs
High Point: 3.0
Rebounding (L5)
+20.1% more
Charleston Southern: 39.4
vs
High Point: 31.4
Steals (L5)
+78.4% more
High Point: 11.0
vs
Charleston Southern: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
80.0
55
HPU Score
62.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 31.4
29.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.0 / 13.6
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.9
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 42.7
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 57.5
75.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 39.4
29.0 / 33.0
Steals
11.0 / 6.2
21.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
7.0 / 15.4
8.0 / 29.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
CHSO
HPU
CHSO
ML
80%
28-7
43%
13-17
80%
28-7
67%
20-10
ATS
71%
25-10
50%
15-15
80%
28-7
68%
21-10
TTL
66%
23-12
50%
15-15
100%
35-0
100%
31-0