SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
19-5 | Road
71
PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
15-9 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
TIGERS
0%
BRONCOS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Pacific)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PAC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)
SCU By 1-7 points
0.3%
SCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
PAC By 1-7 points
2.2%
PAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Santa Clara
65
SANTA CLARA
Pacific
92
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
Santa Clara
78
SANTA CLARA
Pacific
65
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Broncos (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
PAC @ SCU
68 - 76
Feb 4, 2026
SCU @ PAC
71 - 56
Jan 14, 2026
PAC @ SCU
69 - 85
Mar 1, 2025
SCU @ PAC
97 - 66
Feb 1, 2025
PAC @ SCU
49 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.8% more
Santa Clara: 2.9
vs
Pacific: 1.1
Steals (L5)
+43.6% more
Santa Clara: 10.7
vs
Pacific: 6.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Santa Clara: 51.1%
vs
Pacific: 49.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCU Score
65.0
71
PAC Score
92.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 38.2
27.0 / 27.0
Assists
17.6 / 16.7
11.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.1 / 2.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 51.1
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 76.3
65.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 36.4
39.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.1 / 10.7
4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 11.6
17.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
PAC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCU
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
SCU
PAC
SCU
ML
45%
15-18
44%
15-19
80%
24-6
73%
22-8
ATS
55%
18-15
53%
18-16
80%
24-6
74%
23-8
TTL
58%
19-14
47%
16-18
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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