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BYU

COUGARSBYU

17-4  |  Road

92
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 9:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

15-6  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
COWBOYS
100%
COUGARS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (BYU)
CougarsBYU (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

88.5%

Cowboys Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BYU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)

BYU By 1-7 points

20.1%

BYU By 8-14 points

27.2%

OKST By 1-7 points

8.0%

OKST By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
86
BYU
74
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
72
BYU
78
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cougars (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u167.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 BYU @ OKST 92 - 99
Jan 14, 2025 OKST @ BYU 69 - 85
Mar 9, 2024 OKST @ BYU 71 - 85
Feb 17, 2024 BYU @ OKST 83 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.5% more
BYU: 4.3 vs Oklahoma State: 2.0
Steals (L5) +62.1% more
Oklahoma State: 8.1 vs BYU: 5.0
Turnovers (L5) +12.5% more
Oklahoma State: 11.0 vs BYU: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Oklahoma State: 37.7% vs BYU: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BYU Score 86.0 92
OKST Score 74.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 34.2 33.0 / 43.0
Assists 14.5 / 13.9 18.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.0 / 4.3 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 45.0 55.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 71.3 65.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 38.7 34.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.1 / 5.0 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 9.7 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
OKST
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
BYU
OKST
BYU
ML
60% 21-14
60% 21-14
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
ATS
57% 20-15
54% 19-16
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
TTL
57% 20-15
69% 24-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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