PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
28-21 | Road
113
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
27-23 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
WARRIORS
0%
76ERS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
PHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
13.7%
GS By 1-7 points
26.2%
GS By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
121
PHILADELPHIA
Golden State
122
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
113
PHILADELPHIA
Golden State
117
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Warriors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warriors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Warriors (+5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Warriors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o221.0
Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim
u221.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
PHI @ GS
113 - 94
Dec 4, 2025
GS @ PHI
98 - 99
Mar 1, 2025
GS @ PHI
119 - 126
Jan 2, 2025
PHI @ GS
105 - 139
Feb 7, 2024
GS @ PHI
127 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+84.8% more
Golden State: 17.1
vs
Philadelphia: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+59.0% more
Golden State: 12.7
vs
Philadelphia: 8.0
Blocks (L5)
+39.5% more
Golden State: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+9.4% more
Golden State: 31.3
vs
Philadelphia: 28.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
121.0
113
GS Score
122.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 41.2
40.0 / 34.0
Assists
31.3 / 28.6
27.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.7
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 48.9
47.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 83.6
50.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
42.0 / 41.0
33.0 / 56.0
Steals
12.7 / 8.0
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
17.1 / 9.3
20.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
PHI
GS
PHI
ML
55%
95-79
63%
69-40
58%
49-35
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
101-73
65%
71-38
58%
49-35
48%
45-48
TTL
77%
134-40
55%
60-49
100%
84-0
100%
93-0
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