AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
RAMBLERS
0%
EXPLORERS
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
LAS By 1-7 points
4.8%
LAS By 8-14 points
1.1%
LUC By 1-7 points
15.3%
LUC By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
La Salle
51
LA SALLE
Loyola Chicago
66
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
La Salle
60
LA SALLE
Loyola Chicago
75
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
LAS @ LUC
61 - 71
Jan 8, 2025
LUC @ LAS
79 - 68
Mar 9, 2024
LAS @ LUC
54 - 64
Mar 4, 2023
LUC @ LAS
76 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.0% more
Loyola Chicago: 12.8
vs
La Salle: 10.5
Blocks (L5)
+15.3% more
Loyola Chicago: 2.1
vs
La Salle: 1.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Loyola Chicago: 68.9%
vs
La Salle: 61.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Loyola Chicago: 30.2%
vs
La Salle: 26.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAS Score
51.0
61
LUC Score
66.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.2 / 26.1
33.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.5 / 13.8
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.1 / 1.8
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 41.0
44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 61.9
60.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 34.2
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.5 / 7.3
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 10.5
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
Advantage
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
LAS
LUC
LAS
ML
55%
18-15
69%
22-10
50%
16-16
69%
22-10
ATS
64%
21-12
78%
25-7
50%
16-16
69%
22-10
TTL
76%
25-8
66%
21-11
100%
32-0
100%
32-0