SIU EDWARDSVILLE
COUGARSSIUE
14-9 | Road
78
LINDENWOOD
LIONSLIN
14-9 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
LIONS
0%
COUGARS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
LINDENWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Lindenwood)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIN -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIN)
SIUE By 1-7 points
0.2%
SIUE By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIN By 1-7 points
1.7%
LIN By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
SIU Edwardsville
50
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Lindenwood
78
LINDENWOOD
Simulated Score
SIU Edwardsville
68
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Lindenwood
72
LINDENWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
SIUE @ LIN
78 - 72
Jan 6, 2026
LIN @ SIUE
62 - 66
Jan 30, 2025
SIUE @ LIN
63 - 65
Jan 4, 2025
LIN @ SIUE
47 - 58
Feb 15, 2024
LIN @ SIUE
63 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+53.6% more
Lindenwood: 9.8
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 6.4
Blocks (L5)
+47.8% more
Lindenwood: 6.1
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+38.0% more
Lindenwood: 15.8
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 11.5
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
Lindenwood: 12.9
vs
SIU Edwardsville: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score
50.0
78
LIN Score
78.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 30.3
26.0 / 53.0
Assists
12.9 / 11.8
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
6.1 / 4.1
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 44.4
40.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 70.7
58.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 35.0
43.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.8 / 6.4
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 11.5
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
LIN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
LIN
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -4.5
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIN
SIUE
LIN
SIUE
ML
47%
15-17
65%
20-11
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
ATS
34%
11-21
55%
17-14
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
TTL
53%
17-15
48%
15-16
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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