AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
BRUINS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BEL +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
DRKE By 1-7 points
27.2%
DRKE By 8-14 points
20.1%
BEL By 1-7 points
21.6%
BEL By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
75
DRAKE
Belmont
72
BELMONT
Simulated Score
Drake
71
DRAKE
Belmont
75
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
DRKE @ BEL
100 - 79
Feb 3, 2026
DRKE @ BEL
90 - 103
Jan 10, 2026
BEL @ DRKE
78 - 76
Mar 8, 2025
BEL @ DRKE
50 - 57
Dec 29, 2024
BEL @ DRKE
46 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.8%
Drake: 73.3%
vs
Belmont: 68.5%
Assists (L5)
+78.4% more
Belmont: 19.5
vs
Drake: 11.0
Turnovers (L5)
+26.7% more
Belmont: 11.2
vs
Drake: 8.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.0%
Belmont: 44.7%
vs
Drake: 29.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
75.0
90
BEL Score
72.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.7 / 29.8
49.0 / 50.0
Assists
19.5 / 11.0
25.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.7
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.6 / 42.3
59.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 73.3
53.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 35.6
26.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.7
3.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 8.9
5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
DRKE
BEL
DRKE
ML
47%
15-17
59%
20-14
62%
20-12
38%
13-21
ATS
56%
18-14
85%
29-5
62%
20-12
38%
13-21
TTL
44%
14-18
56%
19-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0