BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
8-15 | Road
72
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
8-15 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
CRUSADERS
100%
TERRIERS
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BU -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
BU By 1-7 points
0.1%
BU By 8-14 points
0.6%
HC By 1-7 points
0.0%
HC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
87
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Holy Cross
48
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Boston University
68
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Holy Cross
65
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim
Terriers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
HC @ BU
63 - 78
Feb 2, 2026
BU @ HC
72 - 64
Feb 8, 2025
BU @ HC
52 - 72
Jan 27, 2025
HC @ BU
59 - 69
Mar 2, 2024
HC @ BU
84 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.9% more
Boston University: 4.1
vs
Holy Cross: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+34.5% more
Boston University: 14.0
vs
Holy Cross: 9.2
Turnovers (L5)
+11.7% more
Boston University: 11.2
vs
Holy Cross: 9.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Boston University: 45.7%
vs
Holy Cross: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
87.0
72
HC Score
48.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 32.8
38.0 / 56.0
Assists
9.2 / 14.0
9.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.1
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 45.7
42.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 75.6
75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 32.8
32.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.8 / 5.9
5.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.2
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
BU
HC
BU
ML
52%
16-15
68%
23-11
61%
19-12
62%
21-13
ATS
55%
17-14
62%
21-13
64%
21-12
62%
21-13
TTL
58%
18-13
65%
22-12
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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