AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
0%
RED RAIDERS
100%
JAYHAWKS
--
RED RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
KU By 1-7 points
6.8%
KU By 8-14 points
16.9%
TTU By 1-7 points
1.4%
TTU By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas
80
KANSAS
Texas Tech
59
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
Kansas
70
KANSAS
Texas Tech
75
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Raiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jayhawks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Red Raiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 2, 2026
KU @ TTU
64 - 61
Mar 1, 2025
TTU @ KU
78 - 73
Feb 12, 2024
KU @ TTU
50 - 79
Feb 28, 2023
TTU @ KU
63 - 67
Jan 3, 2023
KU @ TTU
75 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.6% more
Kansas: 4.7
vs
Texas Tech: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+18.3% more
Kansas: 4.8
vs
Texas Tech: 3.9
Rebounding (L5)
+10.4% more
Kansas: 37.0
vs
Texas Tech: 33.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Kansas: 75.4%
vs
Texas Tech: 70.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KU Score
80.0
64
TTU Score
59.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.5 / 39.4
30.0 / 30.0
Assists
17.2 / 16.4
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.5 / 4.7
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.2 / 52.1
32.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 75.4
60.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 37.0
40.0 / 38.0
Steals
3.9 / 4.8
13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 8.3
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
TTU
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
TTU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
KU
TTU
KU
ML
62%
21-13
57%
20-15
71%
22-9
68%
21-10
ATS
65%
22-12
49%
17-18
71%
22-9
68%
21-10
TTL
59%
20-14
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
31-0