MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
18-28 | Road
79
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
30-18 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
CELTICS
0%
BUCKS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
MIL By 1-7 points
10.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
3.3%
BOS By 1-7 points
23.0%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Boston
122
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
114
MILWAUKEE
Boston
117
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o216.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u216.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
BOS @ MIL
133 - 101
Mar 2, 2026
BOS @ MIL
108 - 81
Feb 1, 2026
MIL @ BOS
79 - 107
Dec 11, 2025
BOS @ MIL
101 - 116
Dec 6, 2024
MIL @ BOS
105 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.0% more
Boston: 7.1
vs
Milwaukee: 6.4
Blocks (L5)
+14.1% more
Milwaukee: 6.0
vs
Boston: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
112.0
79
BOS Score
122.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 34.6
36.0 / 29.0
Assists
24.5 / 26.3
24.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.1 / 6.0
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 45.2
45.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 73.1
77.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
45.2 / 42.3
52.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.4
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 11.7
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
MIL
BOS
MIL
ML
57%
61-46
64%
61-35
53%
47-41
60%
49-32
ATS
59%
61-43-3
68%
65-31
53%
47-41
60%
49-32
TTL
56%
60-47
55%
53-43
100%
88-0
100%
81-0
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