AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
PISTONS
100%
NETS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+13.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET +13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
BKN By 1-7 points
18.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
26.8%
DET By 1-7 points
6.8%
DET By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
123
BROOKLYN
Detroit
110
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
114
BROOKLYN
Detroit
110
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +13.0
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o214.0
Loss
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u214.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
DET @ BKN
138 - 100
Mar 7, 2026
BKN @ DET
107 - 105
Feb 1, 2026
BKN @ DET
77 - 130
Nov 7, 2025
DET @ BKN
125 - 107
Mar 1, 2025
BKN @ DET
94 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.4% more
Brooklyn: 4.6
vs
Detroit: 3.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Brooklyn: 34.9%
vs
Detroit: 31.5%
Steals (L5)
+67.2% more
Detroit: 11.2
vs
Brooklyn: 6.7
Assists (L5)
+9.2% more
Detroit: 27.7
vs
Brooklyn: 25.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
123.0
77
DET Score
110.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 34.9
38.0 / 23.0
Assists
27.7 / 25.3
33.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.6
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 45.0
56.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 73.2
76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
44.6 / 43.6
43.0 / 43.0
Steals
11.2 / 6.7
17.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 13.7
8.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BKN
DET
BKN
ML
55%
64-53
53%
50-45
49%
47-49
59%
48-34
ATS
53%
60-54-3
52%
48-44-3
49%
47-49
59%
48-34
TTL
60%
70-46-1
57%
54-41
100%
96-0
100%
82-0