TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
12-9 | Road
78
MEMPHIS
TIGERSMEM
10-10 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
0%
TIGERS
100%
GREEN WAVE
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
TULN By 1-7 points
27.2%
TULN By 8-14 points
23.0%
MEM By 1-7 points
18.6%
MEM By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
68
TULANE
Memphis
63
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Tulane
69
TULANE
Memphis
78
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Green Wave
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
TULN @ MEM
81 - 69
Mar 8, 2026
MEM @ TULN
96 - 95
Feb 1, 2026
TULN @ MEM
78 - 76
Mar 15, 2025
TULN @ MEM
77 - 78
Jan 30, 2025
MEM @ TULN
68 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+11.9% more
Tulane: 4.8
vs
Memphis: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+43.3% more
Memphis: 10.5
vs
Tulane: 7.3
Turnovers (L5)
+32.7% more
Memphis: 14.3
vs
Tulane: 10.8
Rebounding (L5)
+27.4% more
Memphis: 35.7
vs
Tulane: 28.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
68.0
78
MEM Score
63.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 31.5
20.0 / 42.0
Assists
13.1 / 12.7
11.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 42.5
36.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 76.2
84.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 28.1
40.0 / 25.0
Steals
10.5 / 7.3
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 10.8
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
MEM
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
MEM
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
TULN
MEM
TULN
ML
62%
20-12
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
47%
15-17
ATS
62%
20-12
62%
20-12-1
68%
21-10
47%
15-17
TTL
66%
21-11
55%
18-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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