ILLINOIS
FIGHTING ILLINIILL
18-3 | Road
78
NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
20-1 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING ILLINI
100%
CORNHUSKERS
0%
FIGHTING ILLINI
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
ILL By 1-7 points
2.2%
ILL By 8-14 points
0.4%
NEB By 1-7 points
9.3%
NEB By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Illinois
81
ILLINOIS
Nebraska
100
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Illinois
70
ILLINOIS
Nebraska
78
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
ILL @ NEB
78 - 69
Dec 13, 2025
NEB @ ILL
83 - 80
Jan 30, 2025
ILL @ NEB
74 - 80
Mar 16, 2024
NEB @ ILL
87 - 98
Feb 4, 2024
NEB @ ILL
84 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+173.0% more
Nebraska: 8.4
vs
Illinois: 3.1
Assists (L5)
+39.7% more
Nebraska: 18.6
vs
Illinois: 13.3
Turnovers (L5)
+11.8% more
Nebraska: 8.7
vs
Illinois: 7.8
Blocks (L5)
+9.2% more
Nebraska: 3.3
vs
Illinois: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ILL Score
81.0
78
NEB Score
100.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 37.7
43.0 / 30.0
Assists
18.6 / 13.3
17.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.1
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 44.9
42.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
82.0 / 73.5
80.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 37.5
27.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.4 / 3.1
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 7.8
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ILL
28-9-0
(75.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ILL
Advantage
22-15-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
NEB
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ILL
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -1.4
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
ILL
NEB
ILL
ML
51%
18-17
65%
24-13
62%
21-13
57%
20-15
ATS
54%
19-16
70%
26-11
62%
21-13
57%
20-15
TTL
63%
22-13
57%
21-16
100%
34-0
100%
35-0
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