PENNSYLVANIA
QUAKERSPENN
9-10 | Road
91
CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
10-9 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
QUAKERS
0%
BIG RED
100%
QUAKERS
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
PENNSYLVANIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Pennsylvania)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PENN -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PENN)
PENN By 1-7 points
0.2%
PENN By 8-14 points
1.4%
COR By 1-7 points
0.0%
COR By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Pennsylvania
89
PENNSYLVANIA
Cornell
53
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Pennsylvania
73
PENNSYLVANIA
Cornell
78
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Quakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Quakers (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
COR @ PENN
76 - 82
Jan 31, 2026
PENN @ COR
91 - 81
Feb 28, 2025
PENN @ COR
62 - 90
Jan 18, 2025
COR @ PENN
86 - 76
Mar 1, 2024
COR @ PENN
87 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.7% more
Pennsylvania: 5.9
vs
Cornell: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+72.7% more
Cornell: 20.3
vs
Pennsylvania: 11.8
Turnovers (L5)
+18.8% more
Cornell: 11.1
vs
Pennsylvania: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
Cornell: 53.6%
vs
Pennsylvania: 41.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PENN Score
89.0
91
COR Score
53.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 38.9
42.0 / 47.0
Assists
20.3 / 11.8
20.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.4
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
53.6 / 41.6
45.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 63.8
58.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 31.7
26.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.3 / 5.9
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.4
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PENN
--
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PENN
--
COR
Advantage
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PENN
--
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
PENN
COR
PENN
ML
44%
12-15
53%
16-14
63%
17-10
76%
22-7
ATS
59%
16-11
63%
19-11
63%
17-10
76%
22-7
TTL
78%
21-6
70%
21-9
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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