PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
7-14 | Road
80
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
14-6 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
LIONS
0%
TIGERS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
PRIN By 1-7 points
20.1%
PRIN By 8-14 points
9.3%
COLU By 1-7 points
27.4%
COLU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
77
PRINCETON
Columbia
81
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Princeton
60
PRINCETON
Columbia
72
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
COLU @ PRIN
75 - 65
Jan 31, 2026
PRIN @ COLU
80 - 68
Feb 28, 2025
PRIN @ COLU
73 - 68
Jan 20, 2025
COLU @ PRIN
67 - 71
Mar 1, 2024
COLU @ PRIN
70 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+69.8% more
Columbia: 13.8
vs
Princeton: 8.1
Blocks (L5)
+57.3% more
Columbia: 3.9
vs
Princeton: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+44.7% more
Columbia: 17.1
vs
Princeton: 11.8
Rebounding (L5)
+14.6% more
Columbia: 38.0
vs
Princeton: 33.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
77.0
80
COLU Score
81.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 32.0
25.0 / 53.0
Assists
17.1 / 11.8
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.5
1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 39.3
40.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 85.3
41.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 33.2
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.2
6.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 8.1
6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
COLU
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
PRIN
COLU
PRIN
ML
44%
12-15
45%
13-16
56%
15-12
62%
18-11
ATS
59%
16-11
48%
14-15
56%
15-12
62%
18-11
TTL
74%
20-7
72%
21-8
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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