DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
9-10 | Road
77
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
7-12 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
0%
BEARS
100%
BIG GREEN
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRWN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
DART By 1-7 points
26.2%
DART By 8-14 points
16.9%
BRWN By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRWN By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
96
DARTMOUTH
Brown
95
BROWN
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
63
DARTMOUTH
Brown
71
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.0
Win
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
BRWN @ DART
79 - 76
Jan 31, 2026
DART @ BRWN
77 - 70
Mar 1, 2025
BRWN @ DART
58 - 78
Jan 25, 2025
DART @ BRWN
84 - 83
Mar 2, 2024
DART @ BRWN
67 - 89
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.0%
Dartmouth: 37.5%
vs
Brown: 23.5%
Steals (L5)
+54.8% more
Brown: 6.6
vs
Dartmouth: 4.3
Blocks (L5)
+15.1% more
Brown: 3.9
vs
Dartmouth: 3.4
Turnovers (L5)
+11.1% more
Brown: 10.8
vs
Dartmouth: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
96.0
77
BRWN Score
95.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.5 / 37.5
30.0 / 27.0
Assists
15.3 / 13.8
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.4
4.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 43.6
35.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 66.1
71.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 34.0
47.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.6 / 4.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 9.7
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
DART
BRWN
DART
ML
56%
15-12
62%
16-10
67%
18-9
50%
13-13
ATS
59%
16-11
65%
17-9
67%
18-9
50%
13-13
TTL
59%
16-11
88%
23-3
100%
27-0
100%
26-0
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