GRAMBLING
TIGERSGRAM
8-10 | Road
69
JACKSON STATE
TIGERSJKST
6-14 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
TIGERS
100%
TIGERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
GRAMBLING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Grambling)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GRAM -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GRAM)
GRAM By 1-7 points
15.3%
GRAM By 8-14 points
25.3%
JKST By 1-7 points
4.8%
JKST By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Grambling
72
GRAMBLING
Jackson State
57
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
Grambling
68
GRAMBLING
Jackson State
72
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.0
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u149.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
GRAM @ JKST
65 - 68
Jan 31, 2026
GRAM @ JKST
69 - 66
Feb 1, 2025
JKST @ GRAM
65 - 50
Feb 3, 2024
GRAM @ JKST
70 - 62
Mar 10, 2023
JKST @ GRAM
69 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.2% more
Grambling: 8.2
vs
Jackson State: 5.5
Turnovers (L5)
+29.6% more
Grambling: 17.4
vs
Jackson State: 12.3
Assists (L5)
+33.8% more
Jackson State: 11.3
vs
Grambling: 8.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
Jackson State: 36.9
vs
Grambling: 32.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score
72.0
69
JKST Score
57.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 28.8
29.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.3 / 8.4
7.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.0 / 2.0
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.2 / 41.6
38.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 73.9
73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 32.6
34.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.5 / 8.2
2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 17.4
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
JKST
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
JKST
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -4.0
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JKST
GRAM
JKST
GRAM
ML
77%
24-7
68%
21-10
73%
19-7
68%
17-8
ATS
77%
24-7
61%
19-12
73%
19-7
68%
17-8
TTL
58%
18-13
58%
18-13
100%
26-0
100%
25-0
Contextual Game News
Drake Men's Basketball Enters Year 2 Under Eric Henderson with R…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…