QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
12-10 | Road
75
BELLARMINE
KNIGHTSBELL
8-13 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
KNIGHTS
100%
ROYALS
--
KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
QUC By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUC By 8-14 points
26.8%
BELL By 1-7 points
6.8%
BELL By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Bellarmine
65
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
Queens University
68
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Bellarmine
72
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Royals (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
QUC @ BELL
75 - 78
Jan 3, 2026
BELL @ QUC
76 - 98
Feb 13, 2025
QUC @ BELL
92 - 87
Feb 3, 2024
BELL @ QUC
75 - 85
Feb 11, 2023
BELL @ QUC
88 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+63.6% more
Queens University: 2.6
vs
Bellarmine: 0.9
Turnovers (L5)
+24.5% more
Queens University: 10.6
vs
Bellarmine: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+18.6% more
Queens University: 32.5
vs
Bellarmine: 26.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Bellarmine: 79.7%
vs
Queens University: 73.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
78.0
75
BELL Score
65.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 35.8
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.6 / 15.7
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
0.9 / 2.6
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
52.6 / 47.5
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 73.2
89.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
26.5 / 32.5
31.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.4
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 10.6
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
BELL
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
BELL
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
QUC
BELL
QUC
ML
72%
23-9
71%
25-10
94%
29-2
71%
24-10
ATS
72%
23-9
86%
30-5
94%
29-2
71%
24-10
TTL
50%
16-16
47%
16-18-1
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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